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Ramaphosa stays or go: No difference, really
It will make no difference if Ramaphosa should go now; he never was an asset to good governance and development. Ramaphosa was a loyal ANC cadre, nothing more, and nothing less. Like all ANC cadres, his real purpose was self-enrichment, for him, his friends and family. In this, he succeeded.

Frans Minnaar
2 days ago4 min read


What to make of the Madlanga Commission?
Whatever the Madlanga Commission may come up, it will not surprise me. I know it is going on, without knowing the particulars. It is going on everywhere in the country. And it is not going to stop. There is no will, or intention, to stop it. The Commission, like the Zondo Commission, will publish its findings, there will be a lot of promises about consequences (probably, knowing this government and its modus operandi, an “action plan”). Probably there will be a commission ...

Frans Minnaar
Oct 14 min read


AGOA
AGOA - the African Growth and Opportunity Act - is legislation enacted by the United States Congress that enables exporters in eligible Sub-Saharan African beneficiary countries to sell their goods on the U.S. market free of standard import tariffs. While AGOA is the popular or given name, the preferences are embeded in the U.S. legislation under Title 19, paragraph 3701, and onwards.

Frans Minnaar
Sep 302 min read


BBBEE and Economic Performance
There is a direct correlation between the policy of Black Economic Empowerment and the economic performance of the country, as measures in terms of GDP growth, capital formation and the unemployment rate. This article analyse that relationship.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 2111 min read


The Unemployment Rate
South Africa’s official unemployment rate for the 2nd Quarter of 2025 has been announced today. It stands at 33,2%, up from 32,9 in the preceding quarter.
So, let me understand this properly: A country with the second highest unemployment rate in the world choose to retain their racist so-called transformation policies, in spite of the warnings of the strongest economy in the World, the United States, and the World Bank, to let go of it. Do I get it right?

Frans Minnaar
Aug 142 min read


Die risiko van Suid-Afrika se buitelandse beleid
ʼn Vergelyking tussen Suid-Afrika, die lande waarvan dit hou, en die lande waarvan dit nie hou nie. Dit sê baie oor die agteruitang in land.

Frans Minnaar
Mar 273 min read


The Government of National Unity
The Government of National Unity cannot work; it cannot work for me, because it will make no difference to my fate.

Frans Minnaar
Mar 1925 min read


SA trade: USA / China
The difference in SA trade between China and the United States, is in the fact that the country imports much more from China than from the United States. In comparison, its exports to China are less favourable than those to the United States. The balance of trade with its trade with the United States is in favour of South Africa; with China, it’s to its determinant (negative).

Frans Minnaar
Feb 122 min read


Scenarios South Africa
Frans Minnaar has conducted a scenario analysis as part of his risk analyses. In this model, there are two possible scenarios.

Frans Minnaar
Feb 1227 min read


Civilisations' Domination
It is naïve to think that the entrenched cultural identity that has developed over thousands and millions of years could be wished away with the blink of an eye. The transition between cultural dominance always implies a shift of paradigmatic plates. For one thing: There is simple too much history built into the conflicting fault-lines of civilisations.

Frans Minnaar
Feb 1216 min read
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