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Frans Minnaar. Analyst & Activist.

ABOUT
I am a blogger and YouTuber, writing blog posts and developing videos about Politics, Socio-economic conditions and Governance. The contents of the website, and my offerings generally, are:

1. Blog posts with Political commentary (predominantly in Afrikaans).

2. Posts in support of my activist agenda, posted on the Site Blog (predominantly in Afrikaans).

3. Videos posted on my YouTube channel, predominantly in English.

4. Data and analyses, including key economic indicators, scenario forecasting and data analyses, published on the Site Blog, predominantly in English.

5. Risk notes, with information about possible public governance risks, posted on the Site Blog, predominantly in English.

Site subscribers:

The following contents are reserved for site subscribers:

1. The Data and Analyses category on the Site Blog.

2. Complete text and downloads of risk notes.

3. Bookings: Online consultations.

4. Online Groups: Discussion and additional files.
Ek is 'n blogger en YouTuber wat blogplasings skryf en video's ontwikkel oor politiek, sosio-ekonomiese toestande en regering. Die inhoud van die webwerf, en my aanbiedinge oor die algemeen, behels die volgende:

1. Blogplasings met politieke kommentaar (hoofsaaklik in Afrikaans).

2. Plasings ter ondersteuning van my aktivistiese agenda, geplaas op die webwerfblog (hoofsaaklik in Afrikaans).

3. Video's geplaas op my YouTube-kanaal, hoofsaaklik in Engels.

3. Data en ontledings, insluitend belangrike ekonomiese aanwysers, scenariovoorspellings en data-ontledings, gepubliseer op die webwerfblog, hoofsaaklik in Engels.

4. Risiko-notas, met inligting oor moontlike openbare bestuursrisiko's, geplaas op die webwerfblog, hoofsaaklik in Engels.

Webwerf-intekenare:

Die volgende inhoud is gereserveer vir webwerf-intekenaars:

1. Die Data en Ontleding-kategorie op die Webwerf-blog.

2. Volledige teks en aflaaie van risiko-notas.

3. Besprekings: Aanlyn konsultasies.

4. Aanlyngroepe: Besprekings en addisionele leggers.

Politics

Public·1 member

Frans Minnaar

Analysis of Municipal by-election results

I have done an analysis of trends in the results of by-elections conducted from the time of the 2021 Local Government elections to the end of February 2026. I have used two datasets obtained from the website of the Independent Electoral Commission, namely:

-- A “Winners” report; that is, an analysis of trends in wards, focusing on the margins of the winning political parties; distinguishing between the outcomes during the 2021 Local Government elections in wards where by-elections were since conducted, versus the results of the said by-elections.

-- A “Votes” report; that is, an analysis of trends in the number of votes casted on political parties participating in the different by-elections since the 2021 local government elections.

Let’s start with the number of by-elections won by each of the major political groupings in SA, over the period 2021 until February 2026.

Frans Minnaar

21 hours ago · updated the description of the group.

Welcome to the group!

Discuss issues about Politics. Access and download posts and file about Politics.

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Frans Minnaar

Welcome to our group Politics! A space for us to connect and share with each other. Start by posting your thoughts, sharing media, or creating a poll.

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Frans Minnaar

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