top of page
Site Blog

Analyses
This category on the Frans Minnaar website, Site Blog, contains posts with analyses of the South African and global environment, conditions and events that may potentially constitute risks.


The National Democratic Revolution and its Freedom Charter roots
The National Democratic Revolution means transforming the South African economy and society into a communist one. However, this is a special kind of communism, in which race plays an important role. The National Democratic Revolution is here to stay. It is linked to the Freedom Charter and it is an enormous and deadly risk to South Africa.

Frans Minnaar
Nov 194 min read


Is South Africa heading to the Zimbabwe scenario?
Is South Africa heading to the Zimbabwe scenario? Probably. There are very few differences between the ANC and ZAPU PF. Both are, in essence, liberation movements, and not government.

Frans Minnaar
Sep 55 min read


Global Power Relations
There are 195 sovereign countries officially recognised by the United Nations, of which 193 are UN member states. The Vatican City and Palestine are recognised as states, but only with observer status in the UN. When analysing your current governance - or business strategy, it will be useful to consider the current Balance of Power in the world to understand where the opportunities and the threats are.

Frans Minnaar
Sep 48 min read


Remuneration of municipal councilors
The salaries and benefits of municipal councillors are determined by the Remuneration of Public Office Bearers Act, 1998; and then (currently) specifically the regulations titled Determination of upper limits of salaries, wages and benefits of different members of municipal councillors (the September 2023 version).
Download an Excel spreadsheet below to do a quick analysis of the salaries of municipal councilors in your municipality.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 202 min read


Sal die RNE die Begroting oorleef?
Ek weet nie of die DA uit die Regering van Nasionale Eenheid sal ontrek nie. Maar een ding weet ek wel: Die DA het nog absoluut niks in die RNE bereik nie. Daar was nog geen oorwinnings vir die Party nie.

Frans Minnaar
Jun 276 min read


IDP Risks
The analysis makes an analysis of the effectiveness of Integrated Development Planning as the prescribed planning system for South African municipalities. A total of twelve (12) considerations were included in the analysis. These considerations are focused on the outcomes that an Integrated Development Plan is supposed to promote (or achieve) in local government.

Frans Minnaar
May 147 min read


Die risiko van Suid-Afrika se buitelandse beleid
ʼn Vergelyking tussen Suid-Afrika, die lande waarvan dit hou, en die lande waarvan dit nie hou nie. Dit sê baie oor die agteruitang in land.

Frans Minnaar
Mar 273 min read


The Government of National Unity
The Government of National Unity cannot work; it cannot work for me, because it will make no difference to my fate.

Frans Minnaar
Mar 1925 min read


Successes or Failures of Local Government Intervention Programmes
This document conducts a short an analysis of the results of local government intervention programmes by considering three elements in the process of governance and administration. These are the following:
1. Service Delivery (access to essential basic services)
2. Governance and Community Engagement
3. Core Management Processes

Frans Minnaar
Mar 510 min read


Scenarios South Africa
Frans Minnaar has conducted a scenario analysis as part of his risk analyses. In this model, there are two possible scenarios.

Frans Minnaar
Feb 1227 min read


Civilisations' Domination
It is naïve to think that the entrenched cultural identity that has developed over thousands and millions of years could be wished away with the blink of an eye. The transition between cultural dominance always implies a shift of paradigmatic plates. For one thing: There is simple too much history built into the conflicting fault-lines of civilisations.

Frans Minnaar
Feb 1216 min read


Global Power: Balance of Forces
The world is on the precipice of a transition in dominance over global power from the Western civilisation to the Eastern one.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 1512 min read
bottom of page





