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Analyses
The Analyses category of the Site Blog on the Frans Minnaar website contains posts with the results of analyses conducted by the author.
Analyses include posts resulting from data - and trends processing conducting by the author. Data include political, - economic, - social - and governance indicators.
Analyses also include the results of qualitative - and quantitative risk assessments.


Maduro, the US and International Law
So, the US has breached international law by kidnapping Maduro. But who cares? Let me tell you, not the ANC. The ANC’s standard is their Cold War loyalties. Anyway, who actually cares about “international law” anymore? What matters, is ideology, not law.
Just considers the hypocritical South African government. It condemns the United States government for capturing Maduro, but is silent about Russia’s invasion of a sovereign state. How many people has dies during the US’s a

Frans Minnaar
5 days ago3 min read


The United States National Security Strategy & Global Power Relations
The US National Security Strategy, published in November 2025, set out its geopolitical aims and strategies. It is in line with Trump’s expressed worldviews, made clear on numerous occasions during the last decade of his presence in United States politics. Under his leadership, the United States will act accordingly, regardless of whether he and his administration is blamed of breaking international law, or regardless of how reprehensible many may find it.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 515 min read


Wages vs GDP Growth
When the GDP growth figures for the United States in respect of the 3rd quarter of 2025 were published, a big issue was made by Republicans about the success of Trump’s economic policies, including his tariff initiatives. This growth rates were 4,3%; far exceeding even the most optimistic forecasts.
The counter-response from the Left, and specifically Europe, was that the real state of an economy must be measured not in terms of GDP growth, but in terms of wage growth.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 43 min read


The Odds of Europe siding with SA against the US
I don’t think that the ANC and its allies must depend too much on support from Europe for an anti-American rebellion in the G20. Don’t look to Europe to support South African in a large-scale boycotting of the G20 in the United States until Trump agrees to the demands of the Comrades.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 7, 20254 min read


Public Service Wage Bill
The South African government’s staff establishment consist of sixteen salary levels, or grades. The South African public sector is captured in the destructive results of political ideology, nepotism, cadre deployment and corruption. The results are clearly visible, including in the numbers.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 6, 20255 min read


The National Democratic Revolution and its Freedom Charter roots
The National Democratic Revolution means transforming the South African economy and society into a communist one. However, this is a special kind of communism, in which race plays an important role. The National Democratic Revolution is here to stay. It is linked to the Freedom Charter and it is an enormous and deadly risk to South Africa.

Frans Minnaar
Nov 19, 20254 min read


The Container Port Performance Index
The Container Port Performance Index (CPPI) provides a globally consistent and comparable assessment of container port performance. It is based on empirical measurements of vessel time in port, focusing on how efficiently container ports serve ships from the perspective of shipping lines and their customers. It is grounded in objective data and a robust two-pronged methodology.

Frans Minnaar
Oct 1, 20255 min read


DA, VV+, AfriForum: Wat's die langtermynivisie?
Ek is deel van die Afrikanergemeenskap in Suid-Afrika. Wanneer ek kommentaar lewer op die politiek, is my vertrekpunt altyd dat my kriterium vir (veral subjektiewe) beoordeling is dat die rasse- diskriminasie in my geboorteland teen my moet einde kry.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 26, 202513 min read


Remuneration of municipal councilors
The salaries and benefits of municipal councillors are determined by the Remuneration of Public Office Bearers Act, 1998; and then (currently) specifically the regulations titled Determination of upper limits of salaries, wages and benefits of different members of municipal councillors (the September 2023 version).
Download an Excel spreadsheet below to do a quick analysis of the salaries of municipal councilors in your municipality.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 20, 20252 min read
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