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Frans Minnaar. Analyst.
Risk Notes


The ANC's Priorities: My Response
The ANC's lekgotla, held over the weekend, outlined specific tasks in the six priority areas identified by the ANC’s NGC:
• Firstly, to fix local government and improve basic services
• Secondly, to speed up economic transformation and to engender inclusive growth and job creation
• Thirdly, to wage war on crime and corruption and tackle GBVF as a National Disaster
• Fourthly, to build a South Africa that belongs to all through the National Dialogue...

Frans Minnaar
8 hours ago2 min read


Is the Army in Ideological Resistance?
I don’t think a coup d’état is imminent in South Africa (but I may be wrong, who knows). However, something is cooking, boiling just below the surface.
I do think that there is open revolt against civilian oversight in the military forces of the country. I also think the drivers of this revolt are ideology and the sense of a lost victory.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 227 min read


Maduro, the US and International Law
So, the US has breached international law by kidnapping Maduro. But who cares? Let me tell you, not the ANC. The ANC’s standard is their Cold War loyalties. Anyway, who actually cares about “international law” anymore? What matters, is ideology, not law.
Just considers the hypocritical South African government. It condemns the United States government for capturing Maduro, but is silent about Russia’s invasion of a sovereign state. How many people has dies during the US’s a

Frans Minnaar
Jan 93 min read


The Class of '94
The ANC leadership, the generation of the 1994 transition, did not have an opportunity to grow into the responsibilities of governing a rather sophisticated and modern country, the richest and most powerful in Africa. It happened overnight. Their lives were transformed from oppression and struggle, from powerlessness, to total power. Poverty was replaced by overpowering richness. And all this happened overnight, in the scope of less than four years.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 87 min read


The ANC's 5th National General Council
The ANC cadres are not the excellent creators they believe themselves to be; they are destroyers. They contaminate everything they touch. They have turned South Africa into a mafia state, a failed state. And they are still at it.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 10, 20254 min read


The Odds of Europe siding with SA against the US
I don’t think that the ANC and its allies must depend too much on support from Europe for an anti-American rebellion in the G20. Don’t look to Europe to support South African in a large-scale boycotting of the G20 in the United States until Trump agrees to the demands of the Comrades.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 7, 20254 min read


No, SA cannot survive US sanctions unscaled
It is very dangerous to say "We don't need the United States"; "if they want to, let them sanction us."
Let's look at three examples of countries that have been actively sanctioned by the USA in the post-WW2 history.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 7, 20252 min read


The Container Port Performance Index
The Container Port Performance Index (CPPI) provides a globally consistent and comparable assessment of container port performance. It is based on empirical measurements of vessel time in port, focusing on how efficiently container ports serve ships from the perspective of shipping lines and their customers. It is grounded in objective data and a robust two-pronged methodology.

Frans Minnaar
Oct 1, 20255 min read


Floyd Shivambu, and the big egos of South African politics
The populist icons of South African politics have enormous egos; all believing that they are greater than the Ideas they are proposing. Some actually are; some not. However, none of them are bigger than perception.

Frans Minnaar
Sep 6, 20257 min read


Education in South Africa is chaotic
SETAs, SAQA, accreditation, NSFAS. The South African educational system has created bags full of money that have became cesspools of corruption and looting, while competencies and skills have deteriorated into the gutters.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 19, 20257 min read


Is the "suspended" ideological fight now on again?
What’s going on with Ramaphosa and Donald Trump’s behaviour towards South Africa? Why is the delegation Ramaphosa has promises to send to the United States to “provide accurate information” about the expropriation act and race laws of the country not getting off the ground?

Frans Minnaar
Apr 15, 20255 min read


"Redress": Level 1 BBBEE compliance is destroying the country
Level 1 BBBEE. Beautiful; it simply means you discriminate 100% against White South Africans.

Frans Minnaar
Apr 9, 20256 min read


Transformation
I don’t support transformation; not in the manner in which it is applied in South Africa.

Frans Minnaar
Apr 3, 20253 min read
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