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Analyses


'n Ontleding van groei in die Suid-Afrikaanse ekonomie: 1961 tot 2024
Suid-Afrika se ekonomies egroei voor 1994 was beter en meer volgehou as na 1994. Dit is nie 'n ideologiese stelling nie, maar 'n feitlike een. Ekonomiese groei gedurende die tydperk 2009 tot 2024 was slegs 0,15% beter as gedurende die tydperk (1984 tot 1994) toe Suid-Afrika feitlik totaal afgesny was van die internasionale ekonomie, en onder geweldige druk as gevolg van interne - en eksterne militêre konflikte.

Frans Minnaar
6 hours ago14 min read


Die Firma: 'n Mafiastaat in Aksie
Ek was absoluut verstom deur die besef dat die Suid-Afrikaanse regime glo in die ideologie van "Miljardisering " van die Suid-Afrikaanse ekonomie. Dit is die vreemde ekonomiese teorie gebaseer op die idee dat die sukses of mislukking van ekonomiese transformasie gemeet moet word in terme van die aantal swart miljardêrs. ʼn Mens sou dink dat ʼn self-verklaarde Sosialistiese regime die idee van miljardêrs afkeuringswaardig sou vind. Dit is egter nie die geval nie.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 1415 min read


Maduro, the US and International Law
So, the US has breached international law by kidnapping Maduro. But who cares? Let me tell you, not the ANC. The ANC’s standard is their Cold War loyalties. Anyway, who actually cares about “international law” anymore? What matters, is ideology, not law.
Just considers the hypocritical South African government. It condemns the United States government for capturing Maduro, but is silent about Russia’s invasion of a sovereign state. How many people has dies during the US’s a

Frans Minnaar
Jan 93 min read


The United States National Security Strategy & Global Power Relations
The US National Security Strategy, published in November 2025, set out its geopolitical aims and strategies. It is in line with Trump’s expressed worldviews, made clear on numerous occasions during the last decade of his presence in United States politics. Under his leadership, the United States will act accordingly, regardless of whether he and his administration is blamed of breaking international law, or regardless of how reprehensible many may find it.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 515 min read


Wages vs GDP Growth
When the GDP growth figures for the United States in respect of the 3rd quarter of 2025 were published, a big issue was made by Republicans about the success of Trump’s economic policies, including his tariff initiatives. This growth rates were 4,3%; far exceeding even the most optimistic forecasts.
The counter-response from the Left, and specifically Europe, was that the real state of an economy must be measured not in terms of GDP growth, but in terms of wage growth.

Frans Minnaar
Jan 43 min read


The Odds of Europe siding with SA against the US
I don’t think that the ANC and its allies must depend too much on support from Europe for an anti-American rebellion in the G20. Don’t look to Europe to support South African in a large-scale boycotting of the G20 in the United States until Trump agrees to the demands of the Comrades.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 7, 20254 min read


No, SA cannot survive US sanctions unscaled
It is very dangerous to say "We don't need the United States"; "if they want to, let them sanction us."
Let's look at three examples of countries that have been actively sanctioned by the USA in the post-WW2 history.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 7, 20252 min read


Public Service Wage Bill
The South African government’s staff establishment consist of sixteen salary levels, or grades. The South African public sector is captured in the destructive results of political ideology, nepotism, cadre deployment and corruption. The results are clearly visible, including in the numbers.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 6, 20255 min read


"The Firm": South Africa's Governing Oligarchy
The ANC is a mafia-type Firm, with the oligarchy inner-circle exercising power, and monopolizing wealth; controlling their "territory" (SA) through their gun-swigging gangsters (state and institutions power) to retain privilges.

Frans Minnaar
Dec 4, 202514 min read


The Container Port Performance Index
The Container Port Performance Index (CPPI) provides a globally consistent and comparable assessment of container port performance. It is based on empirical measurements of vessel time in port, focusing on how efficiently container ports serve ships from the perspective of shipping lines and their customers. It is grounded in objective data and a robust two-pronged methodology.

Frans Minnaar
Oct 1, 20255 min read


Is South Africa heading to the Zimbabwe scenario?
Is South Africa heading to the Zimbabwe scenario? Probably. There are very few differences between the ANC and ZAPU PF. Both are, in essence, liberation movements, and not government.

Frans Minnaar
Sep 5, 20255 min read


Remuneration of municipal councilors
The salaries and benefits of municipal councillors are determined by the Remuneration of Public Office Bearers Act, 1998; and then (currently) specifically the regulations titled Determination of upper limits of salaries, wages and benefits of different members of municipal councillors (the September 2023 version).
Download an Excel spreadsheet below to do a quick analysis of the salaries of municipal councilors in your municipality.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 20, 20252 min read


Academia
My problem with the current academic model is that there is seemingly very little relationship between effort and result. Academics’ performance is not assessed in terms of their ability to get students (learners) ready for the world of work. In the model that QS World University Rankings use to rank universities, only 10% of the assessment weight is allocated to reputation among prospective employers.

Frans Minnaar
Aug 19, 202516 min read


IDP Risks
The analysis makes an analysis of the effectiveness of Integrated Development Planning as the prescribed planning system for South African municipalities. A total of twelve (12) considerations were included in the analysis. These considerations are focused on the outcomes that an Integrated Development Plan is supposed to promote (or achieve) in local government.

Frans Minnaar
May 14, 20257 min read
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